Strong 25-knot headwinds are forecast for the start of the 50th Rolex Fastnet Race, which sets off tomorrow, with a wet and windy first day of racing, and potentially record-breaking conditions for the largest monohullsDarkwood starting in strong wind conditions in the 2021 Rolex Fastnet Race – similar conditions are forecast for the start of 2023 race. Paul Wyeth\/RolexStrong headwinds are forecast for the start of the 50th Rolex Fastnet Race, which sets off tomorrow from Cowes, Isle of Wight to Cherbourg, France, via the iconic course around the Fastnet Rock.\u00a0
\nWind speeds of 20-25 knots from the south-west are expected at the start. This will build to 30-35 knots, potentially gusting 40, as the fleet exits the Solent, although conditions are forecast to moderate rapidly on Sunday.
\n\u201cAt the moment all the information says it will be a gnarly night, but safe to go,\u201d explained Steve Cole, RORC Race Director, at today\u2019s Skippers\u2019 Briefing when asked if organisers RORC had considered postponing.
\nThis year\u2019s race has a record entry, expected to be the largest ever offshore race with over 440 boats taking part and more than 3,000 crew competing.
\nRecord-breaking forecast for Fastnet 2023?
\nHowever, the strong winds could potentially also see the course record broken. The current monohull record, set on the race\u2019s first running over its longer 695-mile course in 2021, stands at 2d 8h 33m 55s, set by the ClubSwan 125 Skorpios.
\nThe canting-keeled 88-footer Rambler 88 here competing in the 2021 Rolex Fastnet Race, and will be returning for a tilt at the race record in 2023 under its new ownership as Lucky. Photo: Carlo Borlenghi\/Rolex
\nHowever, the team onboard Bryon Ehrhart\u2019s Lucky, the 88ft canting keel design that was formerly Rambler 88, believe they are in with a good chance of smashing that.\u00a0
\nAndrew Cape, navigator on Lucky, explained: \u2018It\u2019s a big possibility, like a 75% chance. The routings have us [finishing] at 2 days and 2 hours, so we\u2019re looking pretty good.
\n\u201cLike anything with weather, no plan lasts past first contact but we\u2019ll see. Five out of six weather models have us breaking the record.\u201d
\nAmerica\u2019s Cup legendary sailor Brad Butterworth, tactician on Lucky, cautioned that with the forecast tough start, the big challenge in this year\u2019s Fastnet race would be in avoiding damage.\u00a0
\n\u201cI don\u2019t believe Capey by the way!\u201d he quipped. \u201cYou have to finish, and the first day is going to be pretty sporty and I think there\u2019s going to be a lot of boats that will be thinking twice about continuing on. We\u2019re setting up for quite a bit of wind the first day \u2013 but you have to get through that and to break any record first you have to finish.
\n\u201cBut we\u2019ll pushing hard, there\u2019s no question about that.\u2019<\/p>\n
Tough start expected for IMOCAs in Fastnet
\nFor the 29 IMOCA teams taking part there will be the additional challenge of racing double-handed among the enormous fleet. Pip Hare, who\u2019ll be sailing her newly refitted Medallia complete with monster foils, explained they would be sailing \u2018Very cautiously!\u2019 after the start.
\n\u201cThat is the bit I am most worried about, and I know all the other IMOCA skippers are worried about it as well. Obviously we\u2019ve got a lot of bits sticking out the side! And really limited visibility \u2013 my boat is actually quite good from that perspective because my coach roof pushes forward so I can actually have my head out the boat, but most of the new build boats are [crew] inside.\u00a0
\n\u201cAnd as we head out to the west we go through a funnel, and it gets windier and narrower! So I think everyone is nervous about it and I think we\u2019re probably going to see a cautious exit from the Solent from most people.\u201d
\nThe 29-boat IMOCA fleet is one of the most fascinating in the race, with several brand new designs making their race debut. However, there are also several older, straight daggerboard designs in the fleet and with the initially upwind forecast it might not be the newest foilers that dominate.
\n\u201cI think it\u2019s going to be interesting, with the non-foiling IMOCAs in the mix all the way up to Lands End,\u201d explained Pip Hare.\u00a0
\n\u201cI think they\u2019re going to be quite happy with the forecast, then we\u2019re hoping that once we get past the Scillies we can stick a bit of foil down and pull away from them. It will definitely be a mixed fleet until Lands End.\u201d
\nStrong winds are again forecast for the initial stages of the Rolex Fastnet Race. Photo: Rolex\/Carlo Borlenghi
\nA wet and windy first night
\nDue to the strong wind forecast organisers RORC have reversed the start sequence, with the largest IRC yachts starting first instead of last so they can have a clear exit from the Solent. This means the starting sequence is slightly shorter, with the first warning signal for the multihull fleet at 1250 to start at 1300, the IMOCA 60s starting 15 minutes later, and so on in decreasing yacht size until the IRC 4 class start at 1445.
\nRace meteorologist Christian Dumard forecast 20-25 knots of south-westerly wind at the start, potentially gusting 30.\u00a0\u00a0
\nBy the time the fleet reaches the Needles Channel the wind will increase, and with the current against the west-going fleet it will likely feel stronger again for the competitors as they punch their way out of the Solent. Wind speeds are expected to be 30-35 knots, maybe gusting 40, the sea state will also deteriorate with 1.5-2.5m waves over the first evening.
\nA front from the west is forecast to cross over the fleet around midnight tomorrow, and will likely bring rain. Dumard anticipates that will be followed by a right-hand shift, with the best of the conditions in the west of Lyme Bay. As the front moves east, the sea state is expected to improve and the wind speed reduce fairly rapidly on Sunday morning.
\nA second front will bring winds from a more north-north-westerly direction, which could make for a tactically interesting right-hand shift for the leading IRC boats around Lands End. While the weather models aren\u2019t yet in agreement on how far the northerly wind will shift, it\u2019s possible boats may even experience some downwind sailing towards Fastnet Rock if it clocks all the way round to the east.
\nHere\u2019s how to follow the race start, plus don\u2019t miss our coverage of all the action on yachtingworld.com, social media and YouTube.
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\nThe post \u2018Gnarly\u2019 but potentially record-breaking forecast for 2023 Rolex Fastnet Race appeared first on Yachting World.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Strong 25-knot headwinds are forecast for the start of the 50th Rolex Fastnet Race, which sets off tomorrow, with a wet and windy first day of racing, and potentially record-breaking conditions for the largest monohullsDarkwood starting in strong wind conditions … <\/p>\n